Eclipse/STEM Community Modeling Support for Global Ebola Response
In response to the Ebola outbreak in western Africa, the members of the Eclipse STEM project (SpatioTemporal Epidemiological Modeler) opened our community to an international community of experts including modelers, epidemiologists, virologists, anthropologists, operational staff and others. Our goal was to connect modelers with those in needs of modeling and with those who had relevant data to better understand how the disease spreads and to quantify the effects of possible interventions. During our weekly phone calls, around 20-30 researchers from around the world continue to exchange ideas ranging from detailed results from mathematical Ebola models to anthropological studies of the practices and behavior of villagers on the ground in the affected areas. The Eclipse STEM team also created and shared a state of the art Ebola model. This model was used by the team to study interventions, and is being used by the community and extended by other researchers. In this talk we will present an overview of the model along with some of the results it produced in response to questions raised by the community. Stefan Edlund will introduce the Eclipse STEM project, including an important feature that allows us to fit unknown disease parameters to case reports on the ground. Kun Hu will then describe the STEM Ebola model in detail. Time permitting we will show an example of an Ebola outbreak modeled using STEM.